RESEARCH IN PROGRESS
-
Fiscal Year 2017
Studies
“Dangerous or Disruptive Technologies to Strategic Nuclear Stability,” Christopher Bidwell, Federation of American Scientists (FAS)
“US Policy, Strategy, and Doctrine for Deterring Russian Nuclear ‘De-Escalation’ Strikes,” Matthew Kroenig, Atlantic Council
“Interpreting China’s New Strategic Forces: Motivations, Doctrinal Shifts, Implications,” Bates Gill, Australian National University
“The Effect of the Proposed Nuclear Weapons Ban Treaty on U.S. Allies,” Rebecca Gibbons, Bowdoin College
“Regional and Alliance Implications of Evolving Deterrence on the Korean Peninsula,” Toby Dalton, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
“Deterrence Reset: Prospects for WMD Attribution and Accountability in a Post-CW Use World,” Rebecca Hersman, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
“Development of a Roadmap for Implementing New and Changing U.S. Biosecurity Policy,” Kavita M. Berger, Gryphon Scientific
“Examining Continuity and Change in Pakistan’s Strategic Thinking,” Sameer Lalwani, The Stimson Center
“Addressing the Threat of State-Level Radiological Weapons Programs,” Jeffrey Lewis, Middlebury Institute of International Studies
“Wither JCPOA? Iranian Strategic Decision Making Under Pressure,” Afshon Ostovar, Naval Postgraduate School (NPS)
“Speaking Truth to Nonproliferation,” Henry Sokolski, Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC)
“Risk Disposition and Multi-domain Strategic Stability: An Empirical Examination,” Zachary Zwald, University of Houston
“Illicit Networks and the Nuclear Fuel Cycle,” Justin Hastings, University of Sydney
“Assessing Prospects for Iranian Compliance with the JCPOA: An Applied Case Study in Sociocultural Modeling and Analysis,” Jeannie L. Johnson, Utah State University
Dialogues
“A Track II Dialogue on U.S.-Russian Crisis Stability,” Olga Oliker, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
“US-India Strategic Dialogue on Biosecurity,” Gigi Kwik Gronvall, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
“US-Singapore-Malaysia-Indonesia Multilateral Dialogue on Biosecurity – Year 3,” Anita Cicero, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
“U.S.-Australia-Japan Strategic Dialogue on Security, Deterrence, and Proliferation,” Thomas G. Mahnken, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies
“U.S.-Israel Security Dialogue,” Chen Kane, Middlebury Institute of International Studies
“Regional Workshops on Science and Technology Issues for the Biological Weapons Convention,” Katherine Bowman, The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
“Advancing Joint Chinese-U.S. Dialogue on Biological Safety and Global Health Security,” Benjamin Rusek, The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
“United States-India Strategic Dialogue 2017,” S. Paul Kapur, Naval Postgraduate School (NPS)
“US-China Strategic Nuclear Dialogue,” Ralph Cossa, Pacific Forum-CSIS and Christopher Twomey, Naval Postgraduate School (NPS)
“Trilateral Cooperation to Strengthen Extended Deterrence in Northeast Asia,” Brad Glosserman, Pacific Forum-CSIS
-
Fiscal Year 2018
Studies
“Strengthening Strategic Stability in Europe: Integrating Force Posture and Arms Control Policies in a 21st Century NATO Strategy,” Schuyler Foerster, CGST Solutions
“Rigid Structures, Evolving Threat: Chemical Weapons Nonproliferation in the 21st Century,” Rebecca Hersman, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
“Non-Treaty Options to Address the U.S.-Russian Impasse Over Strategic Ballistic Missile Defense,” Christopher A. Bidwell, Federation of American Scientists (FAS)
“An Assessment of CRISPR in China,” Sonia Ben Ouagrham-Gormley, George Mason University
“Assessing the Dual Use Risks of Genetically Modified Mosquitos,” Corey Meyer, Gryphon Scientific, LLC
“Improving Expert Elicitation on Non-Traditional Chemical Threat Agents Using a Combined Risk Assessment, Delphi and Bayesian Truth Serum Methodology,” Ryan Ritterson, Gryphon Scientific, LLC
“Characterizing and Drawing Lessons from Tactics and Methods of Illicit Procurement to Improve Counter-proliferation and Prevent Future Nuclear, Missile and Military Proliferation,” David Albright, Institute for Science and International Security
“Responding to North Korean Nuclear First Use: Minimizing Damage to the Nuclear Taboo,” James Scouras, Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory
“Escalation by Tweet: The Impact of Emerging Technologies and Social Media on Crisis Escalation and Communication,” Heather Williams, Kings College
“Coercing Syria on Chemical Weapons,” Jeffrey Knopf, Middlebury Institute of International Studies
“Chinese Attitudes Towards North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons Program,” Covell Meyskens, Naval Postgraduate School (NPS)
“WMD Capabilities Enabled by Additive Manufacturing,” Christopher Daase, Negotiation Design & Strategy
“Role of Social Media in Support of WMD Detection, Identification and Risk Mitigation in Syria,” Stephanie Young, RAND
“Identifying Biosecurity Risks and Opportunities in the Rapidly Evolving Biotechnology Industry,” Sarah Carter, Science Policy Consulting, LLC
“Understanding the Impacts WMD/WME Attacks on Patterns of Militant Group Alliance Formation, Infighting, Outbidding, as well as Civilian and Rank-and-File Support,” Emily Kalah Gade, University of Washington
Dialogues
“Middle East Missile Confidence, Security Building and Nonproliferation Measures,” Orde Kittrie, Arizona State University
“US-UK-China Nonproliferation Dialogue,” Toby Dalton, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
“India-US Strategic Dialogue on Biosecurity,” Gigi Kwik Gronvall, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
“US-Singapore-Malaysia-Indonesia Multilateral Dialogue on Biosecurity,” Anita Cicero, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
“An International Workshop on Norms and Practices for the Use of Gene Editing,” Benjamin Rusek, The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
“United States-India Strategic Dialogue, 2018,” S. Paul Kapur, Naval Postgraduate School (NPS)
“US-China Strategic Nuclear Dialogue,” David Santoro, Pacific Forum-CSIS and Christopher Twomey, Naval Postgraduate School (NPS)
“US-Japan-ROK Extended Deterrence Dialogue,” Ralph Cossa, Pacific Forum-CSIS
-
Fiscal Year 2019
Studies
“Understanding the Escalatory Dynamics of Nuclear Crises” Mark Bell, University of Minnesota
“US-Russia Deterrence and Strategic Stability: A Reassessment” Samuel Charap, RAND
“China’s Pursuit of ‘Integrated Strategic Deterrence:’ Aims, Capabilities, and Impact on US-China Strategic Stability” Bates Gill, Macquarie University
“Synthetic Biology and High-Consequence Pathogen Research in the Russian Federation” Gigi Kwik Gronvall, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
“New Technology Applications for Countering WMD: Concepts, Lessons, and Policy Implications” David Horowitz, University of Pennsylvania
“Emerging and Future WMD Threats” Stephen Hummel, US Military Academy
“Threatcasting at the Intersection of Cyber Threats and Weapons of Mass Destruction” Brian Johnson, Arizona State University
“Preventing Nuclear Proliferation in the Middle East Post-JCPOA” Chen Kane, Middlebury Institute
“Assessing Proliferation Risk: Using Advanced Data Analytics to Evaluate Emerging Nuclear Threats” Jeffrey Kaplow, William and Mary
“Preventing State-Sponsored Nuclear Proliferation: Lessons from Pakistan Applicable to Iran and North Korea” Gregory Koblentz, George Mason University
“Evaluating Partner Cooperation on Countering WMD Proliferation” Natasha Lander, RAND
“Nukes and Narcos: What Can Narco-trafficking Teach Us about WMD Illicit Procurement Networks and Means to Counter?” Daniel Salisbury, King’s College London
Dialogues
“A Track II Dialogue on Views of the Middle East on the JCPOA” Gawdat Bahgat, National Defense University
“Southeast Asia Multilateral Dialogue on Biosecurity – with Participation from Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and the United States” Anita Cicero, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
“Nuclear Security Strategic Dialogue” Scott Gartner, Pennsylvania State University
“US-China Strategic Dialogue” Robert Girrier, Pacific Forum
“US-Japan-ROK Extended Deterrence Dialogue” Robert Girrier, Pacific Forum
“India-US Strategic Dialogue on Biosecurity” Gigi Kwik Gronvall, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
“US-Israel Nonproliferation Dialogue” Chen Kane, Middlebury Institute
“Securing North Korea’s Nuclear Facilities: Requirements for U.S.-China Cooperation” Roy Kamphausen, National Bureau of Asian Research
“United States-India Strategic Dialogue 2019” Paul Kapur, Naval Postgraduate School
“US-Pakistan Strategic Dialogue 2019” Feroz Khan, Naval Postgraduate School
“A Track II Dialogue on US-Russian Strategic Futures” Jeffrey Mankoff, Center for Strategic and International Studies
“US-Australia Strategic Nuclear Dialogues” David Santoro, Pacific Forum
“Renewing US-Turkish Track II Strategic Dialogue: Challenges and Opportunities” Sinan Ulgen, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace